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2512.HK$2.99+1.01%
Fair $2.99+0.0%

2512.HK

Cloud Factory Technology Holdings Limited

Technology / Information Technology ServicesHKSE

$2.99

+0.03 (+1.01%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.99Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $6.5M · quality 41.7/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 22/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. ROE is 2.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 2512.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Cloud Factory Technology Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.4B

P/E

149.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

35.6x

↑

ROE

2.4%

↓

Gross Margin

10.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.81

↑
52-Week Range$3
$2$6

TradingView lightweight chart

2512.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.990Periodo -21.3%
Fair value: $2.990

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+19.8%

FCF CAGR

-7.1%

FCF margin

0.7%

FCF / Net income

0.56x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $943.5M · net income $11.5M · FCF $6.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

10.2%-2.4% pts

Operating margin

2.4%+0.5% pts

Net margin

1.2%-0.2% pts

FCF margin

0.7%-0.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$943.5M$943.5M$707.6M$695.9M$548.8M
Net Income$11.5M$11.5M$12.1M$13.9M$8.0M
EBITDA$34.5M$34.5M$29.0M$22.3M$12.0M
EPS——0.030.030.02
Gross Margin10.2%10.2%12.7%12.6%12.6%
Operating Margin2.4%2.4%2.5%3.3%1.9%
Net Margin1.2%1.2%1.7%2.0%1.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.810.810.653.101.47
Current Ratio1.511.51———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$6.5M$6.5M$-255.3M$21.0M$8.1M
Returns
ROE2.4%2.4%3.0%25.7%17.6%
Valuation
P/E149.50149.5086.67——
EV/EBITDA35.6135.6134.13——
P/B2.922.922.72——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth33.3%33.3%1.7%26.8%—
EPS Growth——-0.9%73.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +39.7%

Total return

+39.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.03 → n/d

Residual

+39.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+39.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.