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2533.T$479.00-1.43%
Fair $479.00+0.0%

2533.T

Oenon Holdings, Inc.

Consumer Defensive / Beverages - Wineries & DistilleriesTokyo

$479.00

-7.00 (-1.43%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $479.00Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 56/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 31% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $4.3B · quality 65.3/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 47/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

56/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 2533.TLocal privado en este navegador · Oenon Holdings, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$27.0B

P/E

8.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.7x

↓

ROE

11.8%

↑

Gross Margin

17.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.11

↓
52-Week Range$479
$409$655

TradingView lightweight chart

2533.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $484.00Periodo +120.0%
Fair value: $479.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

4.1%

FCF / Net income

1.15x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $87.63B · net income $3.10B · FCF $3.57B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

17.6%+5.7% pts

Operating margin

4.7%+5.6% pts

Net margin

3.5%+5.1% pts

FCF margin

4.1%+5.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$87.63B$87.63B$84.10B$84.95B$81.12B
Net Income$3.10B$3.10B$2.73B$3.39B$-1.26B
EBITDA$6.23B$6.23B$5.61B$5.55B$1.04B
EPS54.7254.7247.3958.30-21.22
Gross Margin17.6%17.6%16.6%16.5%11.9%
Operating Margin4.7%4.7%4.1%4.2%-0.9%
Net Margin3.5%3.5%3.2%4.0%-1.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.110.110.160.240.53
Current Ratio1.161.16———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$3.57B$3.57B$4.28B$4.61B$-860.0M
Returns
ROE11.8%11.8%11.5%15.9%-7.1%
Valuation
P/E8.758.758.295.97—
EV/EBITDA4.674.674.544.4421.71
P/B1.041.040.960.950.78
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth4.2%4.2%-1.0%4.7%—
EPS Growth15.5%15.5%-18.7%374.7%—
Dividend Yield2.5%2.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-8.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$42.50

Spread vs growth

23.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-1.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$51.43

Spread vs growth

16.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

4.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$82.83

Spread vs growth

11.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +0.3%

Total return

+0.3%

Start / end P/E

10.4x → 8.8x

EPS bridge

47.39 → 54.72

Residual

-2.4%

EPS growth+15.5%
Multiple rerating-15.3%
Dividend+2.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-2.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.