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2540.HK$0.89+2.30%
Fair $0.89+0.0%

2540.HK

Lesi Group Limited

Communication Services / Advertising AgenciesHKSE

$0.89

+0.02 (+2.30%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.89Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 2/9
Margin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-14.5M · quality 44.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 14/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 2540.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Lesi Group Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$445M

P/E

9.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

10.8x

↑

ROE

6.1%

↑

Gross Margin

5.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.26

↑
52-Week Range$1
$1$2

TradingView lightweight chart

2540.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.890Periodo -40.7%
Fair value: $0.890

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+46.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-19.4%

FCF / Net income

-7.57x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.55B · net income $39.7M · FCF $-300.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

5.4%-15.5% pts

Operating margin

3.1%-12.5% pts

Net margin

2.6%-11.1% pts

FCF margin

-19.4%-22.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.55B$1.55B$681.5M$628.0M$492.6M
Net Income$39.7M$39.7M$72.5M$65.2M$67.3M
EBITDA$53.5M$53.5M$81.1M$72.8M$74.5M
EPS——0.150.130.13
Gross Margin5.4%5.4%14.9%16.6%20.9%
Operating Margin3.1%3.1%10.8%11.8%15.5%
Net Margin2.6%2.6%10.6%10.4%13.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.260.260.070.140.10
Current Ratio2.882.88———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-300.5M$-300.5M$-14.5M$103000.00$14.5M
Returns
ROE6.1%6.1%11.8%15.4%18.7%
Valuation
P/E9.899.8910.87——
EV/EBITDA10.7810.788.25——
P/B0.690.691.27——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth127.3%127.3%8.5%27.5%—
EPS Growth——15.0%-3.1%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -28.2%

Total return

-28.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.15 → n/d

Residual

-28.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-28.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.