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2585.HK$12.90+0.16%
Fair $12.90+0.0%

2585.HK

Mokingran Jewellery Group Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Luxury GoodsHKSE

$12.90

+0.02 (+0.16%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $12.90Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 29/D
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $42.4M · quality 39.3/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 20/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

29/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 4.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 2585.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Mokingran Jewellery Group Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.5B

P/E

30.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

16.0x

↑

ROE

4.1%

↓

Gross Margin

7.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.86

↑
52-Week Range$13
$12$27

TradingView lightweight chart

2585.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $12.90Periodo +0.0%
Fair value: $12.90

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+9.6%

FCF CAGR

-54.4%

FCF margin

0.2%

FCF / Net income

0.44x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $20.71B · net income $96.5M · FCF $42.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

7.6%+2.8% pts

Operating margin

6.0%+2.9% pts

Net margin

0.5%-0.7% pts

FCF margin

0.2%-2.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$20.71B$20.71B$19.71B$20.21B$15.72B
Net Income$96.5M$96.5M$189.4M$230.4M$180.8M
EBITDA$312.6M$312.6M$402.4M$421.3M$346.0M
EPS0.360.360.810.840.66
Gross Margin7.6%7.6%6.8%5.3%4.8%
Operating Margin6.0%6.0%5.1%3.6%3.1%
Net Margin0.5%0.5%1.0%1.1%1.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.860.860.700.680.74
Current Ratio1.731.73———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$42.4M$42.4M$-518.7M$128.5M$447.1M
Returns
ROE4.1%4.1%7.7%12.0%10.7%
Valuation
P/E30.7130.7117.26——
EV/EBITDA15.9715.9710.98——
P/B1.491.491.32——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth5.1%5.1%-2.5%28.5%—
EPS Growth-55.6%-55.6%-4.0%27.4%—
Dividend Yield2.7%2.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

47.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.14

Spread vs growth

-102.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

30.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.39

Spread vs growth

-86.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

20.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.23

Spread vs growth

-75.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -16.6%

Total return

-16.6%

Start / end P/E

19.7x → 35.8x

EPS bridge

0.81 → 0.36

Residual

-45.4%

EPS growth-55.6%
Multiple rerating+81.6%
Dividend+2.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-45.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.