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2586.T$121.00+24.74%
Fair $121.00+0.0%

2586.T

Fruta Fruta Inc.

Consumer Defensive / Food DistributionTokyo

$121.00

+24.00 (+24.74%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $121.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 32/D
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-310.8M · quality 58.7/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 40/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

32/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 2586.TLocal privado en este navegador · Fruta Fruta Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$12.9B

P/E

153.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

33.6x

↑

ROE

9.2%

↑

Gross Margin

37.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$121
$78$454

TradingView lightweight chart

2586.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $121.00Periodo -97.8%
Fair value: $121.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+48.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-17.2%

FCF / Net income

-1.62x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.55B · net income $271.0M · FCF $-438.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

37.7%+1.7% pts

Operating margin

9.0%+51.4% pts

Net margin

10.6%+51.9% pts

FCF margin

-17.2%+29.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.55B$2.55B$1.14B$804.9M$780.2M
Net Income$271.0M$271.0M$-306.4M$-308.3M$-322.0M
EBITDA$237.1M$237.1M$-302.5M$-306.3M$-320.1M
EPS3.333.33-9.02-10.41-16.26
Gross Margin37.7%37.7%31.3%38.8%36.0%
Operating Margin9.0%9.0%-23.1%-38.8%-42.4%
Net Margin10.6%10.6%-27.0%-38.3%-41.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity——0.310.110.08
Current Ratio12.2612.26———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-438.9M$-438.9M$-248.8M$-310.8M$-361.0M
Returns
ROE9.2%9.2%-31.4%-34.3%-24.6%
Valuation
P/E153.16153.16———
EV/EBITDA33.5833.58———
P/B3.333.331.292.371.61
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth124.3%124.3%41.2%3.2%—
EPS Growth136.9%136.9%13.4%36.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

47.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$10.74

Spread vs growth

89.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

31.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$12.99

Spread vs growth

105.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

20.2%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$20.92

Spread vs growth

116.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -20.4%

Total return

-20.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-9.02 → 3.33

Residual

-20.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-20.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.