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2608.TW$29.75+1.19%
Fair $29.75+0.0%

2608.TW

Kerry TJ Logistics Company Limited

Industrials / TruckingTaiwan

$29.75

+0.35 (+1.19%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $29.75Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 5/9
Margin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.4B · quality 78.3/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 81/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 2608.TWLocal privado en este navegador · Kerry TJ Logistics Company Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$13.9B

P/E

15.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.7x

↓

ROE

7.4%

↑

Gross Margin

17.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.67

↑
52-Week Range$30
$28$37

TradingView lightweight chart

2608.TW price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $29.75Periodo +178.5%
Fair value: $29.75

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.3%

FCF CAGR

+17.9%

FCF margin

12.9%

FCF / Net income

1.79x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $12.84B · net income $921.4M · FCF $1.65B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

17.9%-0.5% pts

Operating margin

12.2%-1.0% pts

Net margin

7.2%-2.6% pts

FCF margin

12.9%+5.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$12.84B$12.84B$12.66B$12.03B$12.73B
Net Income$921.4M$921.4M$1.05B$1.70B$1.24B
EBITDA$3.03B$3.03B$3.06B$3.75B$3.15B
EPS——2.243.632.65
Gross Margin17.9%17.9%18.2%18.2%18.4%
Operating Margin12.2%12.2%12.6%12.8%13.2%
Net Margin7.2%7.2%8.3%14.1%9.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.670.670.680.660.81
Current Ratio1.311.31———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.65B$1.65B$1.38B$1.25B$1.01B
Returns
ROE7.4%7.4%8.5%13.7%10.7%
Valuation
P/E15.1015.1017.3210.5414.74
EV/EBITDA6.746.748.126.508.25
P/B1.111.111.471.441.58
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.4%1.4%5.2%-5.5%—
EPS Growth——-38.3%37.0%—
Dividend Yield5.6%5.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -14.2%

Total return

-14.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

2.24 → n/d

Residual

-19.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+5.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-19.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.