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2609.HK$4.93-4.27%
Fair $4.93+0.0%

2609.HK

Bayzed Health Group Inc

Healthcare / Medical Care FacilitiesHKSE

$4.93

-0.22 (-4.27%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.93Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 31/D
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $122.1M · quality 63.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 55/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

31/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -0.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 2609.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Bayzed Health Group Inc
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.5B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

50.3x

↑

ROE

-0.9%

↓

Gross Margin

17.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.36

↑
52-Week Range$5
$3$20

TradingView lightweight chart

2609.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4.930Periodo -17.8%
Fair value: $4.930

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.7%

FCF CAGR

+33.2%

FCF margin

16.5%

FCF / Net income

-14.23x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.12B · net income $-13.0M · FCF $184.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

17.0%+7.1% pts

Operating margin

2.1%+7.0% pts

Net margin

-1.2%+6.1% pts

FCF margin

16.5%+6.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.12B$1.12B$1.19B$1.07B$802.7M
Net Income$-13.0M$-13.0M$-13.5M$-26.4M$-58.0M
EBITDA$121.7M$121.7M$122.2M$108.3M$35.6M
EPS-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.04
Gross Margin17.0%17.0%17.5%16.6%9.9%
Operating Margin2.1%2.1%2.7%2.0%-4.8%
Net Margin-1.2%-1.2%-1.1%-2.5%-7.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.360.360.480.490.46
Current Ratio1.691.69———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$184.4M$184.4M$122.1M$74.6M$78.0M
Returns
ROE-0.9%-0.9%-1.3%-2.4%-5.9%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA50.3250.32———
P/B4.074.07———
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-5.8%-5.8%10.9%33.6%—
EPS Growth2.0%2.0%49.0%54.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · available periodreconcilia total -17.8%

Total return

-17.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.01 → -0.01

Residual

-17.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-17.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.