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2612.TW$56.60-1.22%
Fair $56.60+0.0%

2612.TW

Chinese Maritime Transport Ltd.

Industrials / Integrated Freight & LogisticsTaiwan

$56.60

-0.70 (-1.22%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $56.60Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.9B · quality 37.0/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 4/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 2612.TWLocal privado en este navegador · Chinese Maritime Transport Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$11.2B

P/E

10.4x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.7x

↓

ROE

8.0%

↑

Gross Margin

32.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.86

↑
52-Week Range$57
$41$79

TradingView lightweight chart

2612.TW price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $56.60Periodo +688.2%
Fair value: $56.60

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-12.8%

FCF / Net income

-0.58x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.89B · net income $1.08B · FCF $-623.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

32.7%+1.3% pts

Operating margin

22.4%+1.4% pts

Net margin

22.1%+4.7% pts

FCF margin

-12.8%-22.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$4.89B$4.89B$4.64B$4.01B$4.41B
Net Income$1.08B$1.08B$1.01B$328.3M$766.1M
EBITDA$2.92B$2.92B$2.94B$1.98B$1.98B
EPS——5.121.663.87
Gross Margin32.7%32.7%25.5%21.4%31.4%
Operating Margin22.4%22.4%14.9%9.3%21.1%
Net Margin22.1%22.1%21.8%8.2%17.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.860.860.930.920.66
Current Ratio1.121.12———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-623.5M$-623.5M$-2.06B$-1.91B$429.2M
Returns
ROE8.0%8.0%7.4%2.8%6.6%
Valuation
P/E10.3910.397.9731.579.86
EV/EBITDA6.736.735.588.665.67
P/B0.830.830.590.890.65
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth5.4%5.4%15.5%-9.0%—
EPS Growth——208.4%-57.1%—
Dividend Yield3.8%3.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +17.4%

Total return

+17.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

5.12 → n/d

Residual

+13.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+3.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+13.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.