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v0.1
2652.T$346.00+0.58%
Fair $346.00+0.0%

2652.T

Mandarake Inc.

Consumer Cyclical / Internet RetailTokyo

$346.00

+2.00 (+0.58%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $346.00Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 50/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $953.2M · quality 58.7/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 46/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

50/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 2652.TLocal privado en este navegador · Mandarake Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$11.2B

P/E

7.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.6x

↓

ROE

9.5%

↑

Gross Margin

54.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.42

↓
52-Week Range$346
$282$396

TradingView lightweight chart

2652.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $346.00Periodo +265.5%
Fair value: $346.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+12.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.8%

FCF / Net income

-0.11x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $15.18B · net income $1.12B · FCF $-126.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

54.6%+0.1% pts

Operating margin

11.8%+3.0% pts

Net margin

7.4%+1.8% pts

FCF margin

-0.8%-5.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$15.18B$15.18B$14.46B$12.84B$10.59B
Net Income$1.12B$1.12B$1.38B$1.25B$587.5M
EBITDA$2.03B$2.03B$2.33B$2.11B$1.18B
EPS34.3634.3641.7537.6917.74
Gross Margin54.6%54.6%54.8%54.7%54.6%
Operating Margin11.8%11.8%14.4%14.6%8.8%
Net Margin7.4%7.4%9.5%9.7%5.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.420.420.470.640.77
Current Ratio5.605.60———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-126.9M$-126.9M$995.6M$953.2M$459.6M
Returns
ROE9.5%9.5%12.7%13.0%7.0%
Valuation
P/E7.827.829.298.506.71
EV/EBITDA7.607.607.127.268.09
P/B0.960.961.181.100.47
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth5.0%5.0%12.6%21.3%—
EPS Growth-17.7%-17.7%10.8%112.5%—
Dividend Yield0.3%0.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-3.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$30.70

Spread vs growth

-14.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

1.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$37.15

Spread vs growth

-19.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

5.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$59.83

Spread vs growth

-23.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +20.4%

Total return

+20.4%

Start / end P/E

6.9x → 10.1x

EPS bridge

41.75 → 34.36

Residual

-8.1%

EPS growth-17.7%
Multiple rerating+46.0%
Dividend+0.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-8.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.