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2653.T$2802.00-0.95%
Fair $2802.00+0.0%

2653.T

Aeon Kyushu Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Department StoresTokyo

$2802.00

-27.00 (-0.95%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2802.00Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-2.8B · quality 34.7/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 14/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 2653.TLocal privado en este navegador · Aeon Kyushu Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$95.8B

P/E

16.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.8x

↓

ROE

9.9%

↑

Gross Margin

29.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.79

↑
52-Week Range$2802
$2577$3135

TradingView lightweight chart

2653.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,802Periodo +250.3%
Fair value: $2,802

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2023–2026 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.7%

FCF / Net income

-0.63x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $547.14B · net income $5.97B · FCF $-3.75B

2023-FY → 2026-FY

Gross margin

29.2%-0.5% pts

Operating margin

2.0%+0.2% pts

Net margin

1.1%+0.1% pts

FCF margin

-0.7%-2.2% pts
MetricTTM
2026
2025
2024
2023
Income Statement
Revenue$547.14B$547.14B$531.62B$510.32B$484.46B
Net Income$5.97B$5.97B$6.04B$7.03B$4.67B
EBITDA$16.73B$16.73B$15.89B$12.29B$13.22B
EPS174.73174.73177.45205.07134.69
Gross Margin29.2%29.2%29.4%29.7%29.8%
Operating Margin2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%1.7%
Net Margin1.1%1.1%1.1%1.4%1.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.790.790.660.590.66
Current Ratio0.650.65———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-3.75B$-3.75B$-2.82B$2.06B$7.33B
Returns
ROE9.9%9.9%10.9%14.0%10.1%
Valuation
P/E16.0316.0313.8915.1216.67
EV/EBITDA7.827.827.0810.607.77
P/B1.581.581.522.121.68
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.9%2.9%4.2%5.3%—
EPS Growth-1.5%-1.5%-13.5%52.3%—
Dividend Yield1.8%1.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

12.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$248.63

Spread vs growth

-14.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

11.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$300.84

Spread vs growth

-13.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

10.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$484.51

Spread vs growth

-12.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +10.2%

Total return

+10.2%

Start / end P/E

14.6x → 16.0x

EPS bridge

177.45 → 174.73

Residual

-0.2%

EPS growth-1.5%
Multiple rerating+10.1%
Dividend+1.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.