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v0.1
2654.T$392.00-0.51%
Fair $392.00+0.0%

2654.T

Asmo Corporation

Consumer Defensive / Packaged FoodsTokyo

$392.00

-2.00 (-0.51%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $392.00Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 24%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $576.8M · quality 57.7/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 35/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 2.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 2654.TLocal privado en este navegador · Asmo Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.3B

P/E

11.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

-0.1x

↓

ROE

2.2%

↓

Gross Margin

18.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$392
$340$421

TradingView lightweight chart

2654.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $392.00Periodo -90.4%
Fair value: $392.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.5%

FCF / Net income

-0.67x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $20.53B · net income $143.7M · FCF $-96.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

18.2%-1.3% pts

Operating margin

1.4%-1.4% pts

Net margin

0.7%-1.1% pts

FCF margin

-0.5%-1.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$20.53B$20.53B$20.53B$19.72B$18.84B
Net Income$143.7M$143.7M$469.9M$204.4M$347.7M
EBITDA$374.3M$374.3M$746.0M$518.7M$732.6M
EPS10.6710.6734.9015.1825.42
Gross Margin18.2%18.2%19.5%18.9%19.5%
Operating Margin1.4%1.4%3.0%1.7%2.8%
Net Margin0.7%0.7%2.3%1.0%1.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.010.020.03
Current Ratio3.333.33———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-96.5M$-96.5M$640.6M$576.8M$151.8M
Returns
ROE2.2%2.2%7.1%3.3%5.6%
Valuation
P/E11.3311.3311.0023.7217.43
EV/EBITDA-0.13-0.13-0.51-0.242.10
P/B0.800.800.780.770.96
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.0%-0.0%4.1%4.7%—
EPS Growth-69.4%-69.4%129.9%-40.3%—
Dividend Yield2.5%2.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

48.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$34.78

Spread vs growth

-117.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

31.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$42.09

Spread vs growth

-101.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

20.3%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$67.78

Spread vs growth

-89.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +17.5%

Total return

+17.5%

Start / end P/E

9.8x → 36.7x

EPS bridge

34.90 → 10.67

Residual

-191.6%

EPS growth-69.4%
Multiple rerating+276.0%
Dividend+2.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-191.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.