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2657.HK$38.92-1.42%
Fair $38.92+0.0%

2657.HK

2657.HK

Consumer Defensive / Household & Personal ProductsHKSE

$38.92

-0.56 (-1.42%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $38.92Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 55/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $216.2M · quality 66.3/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 52/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

55/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 2657.HKLocal privado en este navegador · 2657.HK
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.5B

P/E

11.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.5x

↓

ROE

19.6%

↑

Gross Margin

82.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.08

↓
52-Week Range$39
$38$96

TradingView lightweight chart

2657.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $38.92Periodo -54.2%
Fair value: $38.92

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+52.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

13.6%

FCF / Net income

0.92x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.45B · net income $360.4M · FCF $332.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

82.0%+4.0% pts

Operating margin

17.7%+23.2% pts

Net margin

14.7%+15.6% pts

FCF margin

13.6%+16.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.45B$2.45B$1.21B$805.0M$691.1M
Net Income$360.4M$360.4M$186.8M$84.5M$-5.9M
EBITDA$540.9M$540.9M$297.3M$181.0M$54.0M
EPS——1.340.61-0.04
Gross Margin82.0%82.0%82.5%81.2%78.0%
Operating Margin17.7%17.7%17.7%12.4%-5.5%
Net Margin14.7%14.7%15.4%10.5%-0.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.080.080.210.150.11
Current Ratio3.493.49———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$332.5M$332.5M$216.2M$113.6M$-19.2M
Returns
ROE19.6%19.6%30.5%18.0%-1.5%
Valuation
P/E11.7211.72———
EV/EBITDA7.487.48———
P/B2.962.96———
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth102.5%102.5%50.3%16.5%—
EPS Growth——121.1%1539.6%—
Dividend Yield2.8%2.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · available periodreconcilia total -51.5%

Total return

-51.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

1.34 → n/d

Residual

-54.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+2.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-54.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.