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2678.T$1209.00+2.99%
Fair $1209.00+0.0%

2678.T

ASKUL Corporation

Consumer Cyclical / Internet RetailTokyo

$1209.00

+35.00 (+2.99%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1209.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 27% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $5.4B · quality 49.7/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 36/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 2678.TLocal privado en este navegador · ASKUL Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$108.3B

P/E

12.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.1x

↓

ROE

11.7%

↑

Gross Margin

24.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.47

↑
52-Week Range$1209
$1051$1667

TradingView lightweight chart

2678.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,207Periodo -36.7%
Fair value: $1,209

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.5%

FCF / Net income

-0.28x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $481.10B · net income $9.07B · FCF $-2.54B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

24.4%-0.1% pts

Operating margin

2.9%-0.4% pts

Net margin

1.9%-0.3% pts

FCF margin

-0.5%-2.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$481.10B$481.10B$471.68B$446.71B$428.52B
Net Income$9.07B$9.07B$19.14B$9.79B$9.21B
EBITDA$25.05B$25.05B$39.38B$21.88B$20.66B
EPS95.3795.37196.36100.3690.77
Gross Margin24.4%24.4%24.9%24.0%24.5%
Operating Margin2.9%2.9%3.6%3.3%3.3%
Net Margin1.9%1.9%4.1%2.2%2.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.470.470.460.640.44
Current Ratio1.221.22———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-2.54B$-2.54B$5.45B$5.65B$7.87B
Returns
ROE11.7%11.7%24.5%15.3%16.2%
Valuation
P/E12.6812.6811.0618.4116.76
EV/EBITDA4.104.104.727.075.84
P/B1.481.482.702.812.72
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.0%2.0%5.6%4.2%—
EPS Growth-51.4%-51.4%95.7%10.6%—
Dividend Yield0.8%0.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

4.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$107.28

Spread vs growth

-55.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

6.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$129.81

Spread vs growth

-57.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

8.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$209.06

Spread vs growth

-59.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -16.7%

Total return

-16.7%

Start / end P/E

7.5x → 12.7x

EPS bridge

196.36 → 95.37

Residual

-35.9%

EPS growth-51.4%
Multiple rerating+69.9%
Dividend+0.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-35.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.