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2702.TW$13.50+4.65%
Fair $13.50+0.0%

2702.TW

Hotel Holiday Garden

Consumer Cyclical / LodgingTaiwan

$13.50

+0.60 (+4.65%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $13.50Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 25/D
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $90.8M · quality 55.0/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 54/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

25/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -1.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 2702.TWLocal privado en este navegador · Hotel Holiday Garden
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.1B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

11.6x

↑

ROE

-1.7%

↓

Gross Margin

87.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.97

↑
52-Week Range$14
$11$18

TradingView lightweight chart

2702.TW price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $13.50Periodo +162.0%
Fair value: $13.50

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.1%

FCF CAGR

-39.9%

FCF margin

6.4%

FCF / Net income

-1.67x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.41B · net income $-54.3M · FCF $90.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

87.1%+6.5% pts

Operating margin

7.8%+4.0% pts

Net margin

-3.9%-33.3% pts

FCF margin

6.4%-24.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.41B$1.41B$1.44B$1.43B$1.36B
Net Income$-54.3M$-54.3M$40.5M$25.7M$402.0M
EBITDA$341.7M$341.7M$638.0M$563.6M$1.24B
EPS——0.260.162.57
Gross Margin87.1%87.1%86.2%81.3%80.5%
Operating Margin7.8%7.8%7.5%5.0%3.8%
Net Margin-3.9%-3.9%2.8%1.8%29.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.970.971.361.491.54
Current Ratio1.371.37———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$90.8M$90.8M$274.2M$33.4M$418.5M
Returns
ROE-1.7%-1.7%1.2%0.8%12.6%
Valuation
P/E——62.88132.198.39
EV/EBITDA11.6311.637.2810.004.52
P/B0.650.650.771.041.06
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-2.3%-2.3%0.6%5.1%—
EPS Growth——62.5%-93.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -2.9%

Total return

-2.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.26 → n/d

Residual

-2.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-2.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.