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2753.T$1277.00-2.11%
Fair $1277.00+0.0%

2753.T

Amiyaki Tei Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / RestaurantsTokyo

$1277.00

-28.00 (-2.11%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1277.00Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 52/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $917.0M · quality 72.0/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 64/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

52/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 2753.TLocal privado en este navegador · Amiyaki Tei Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$26.2B

P/E

20.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

4.9x

↓

ROE

7.9%

↑

Gross Margin

61.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.06

↓
52-Week Range$1277
$1286$1595

TradingView lightweight chart

2753.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,297Periodo +410.9%
Fair value: $1,277

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+17.9%

FCF CAGR

+30.9%

FCF margin

2.5%

FCF / Net income

0.51x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $35.33B · net income $1.74B · FCF $882.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

61.1%+0.9% pts

Operating margin

7.5%+23.2% pts

Net margin

4.9%+2.0% pts

FCF margin

2.5%+0.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$35.33B$35.33B$33.27B$28.54B$21.56B
Net Income$1.74B$1.74B$1.31B$132.0M$627.0M
EBITDA$3.65B$3.65B$3.01B$1.21B$1.72B
EPS84.4984.4963.646.4330.54
Gross Margin61.1%61.1%61.3%61.4%60.2%
Operating Margin7.5%7.5%6.7%1.5%-15.7%
Net Margin4.9%4.9%3.9%0.5%2.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.060.060.050.030.03
Current Ratio2.262.26———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$882.0M$882.0M$2.28B$917.0M$393.0M
Returns
ROE7.9%7.9%6.3%0.7%3.1%
Valuation
P/E20.6420.6431.90175.2232.26
EV/EBITDA4.954.9511.0011.526.82
P/B1.201.202.001.151.01
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth6.2%6.2%16.6%32.3%—
EPS Growth32.8%32.8%889.7%-78.9%—
Dividend Yield2.6%2.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

10.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$113.31

Spread vs growth

22.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

10.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$137.11

Spread vs growth

22.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

10.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$220.81

Spread vs growth

22.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -6.2%

Total return

-6.2%

Start / end P/E

22.4x → 15.4x

EPS bridge

63.64 → 84.49

Residual

-10.3%

EPS growth+32.8%
Multiple rerating-31.3%
Dividend+2.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-10.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.