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2769.T$819.00-1.09%
Fair $819.00+0.0%

2769.T

Village Vanguard CO.,LTD.

Consumer Cyclical / Specialty RetailTokyo

$819.00

-9.00 (-1.09%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $819.00Fund rank 20/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 6/F
F-Score: 3/9
High DebtMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 35% · confianza 10%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-213.0M · quality 19.3/100

Data gap 20/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 19/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

6/100

F

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 5.08, above the 2.0 threshold Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -2.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 2769.TLocal privado en este navegador · Village Vanguard CO.,LTD.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.4B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-226.9%

↓

Gross Margin

37.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

5.08

↑
52-Week Range$819
$808$1055

TradingView lightweight chart

2769.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $815.00Periodo +25.1%
Fair value: $819.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-2.3%

FCF CAGR

-35.9%

FCF margin

1.3%

FCF / Net income

-0.08x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $24.96B · net income $-4.25B · FCF $331.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

37.5%-3.3% pts

Operating margin

-3.7%-5.1% pts

Net margin

-17.0%-17.4% pts

FCF margin

1.3%-3.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$24.96B$24.96B$24.80B$25.28B$26.76B
Net Income$-4.25B$-4.25B$-1.14B$23.0M$116.0M
EBITDA$-3.80B$-3.80B$-668.0M$509.0M$700.0M
EPS-556.98-556.98-161.24-12.260.50
Gross Margin37.5%37.5%39.0%41.3%40.8%
Operating Margin-3.7%-3.7%-3.7%0.6%1.3%
Net Margin-17.0%-17.0%-4.6%0.1%0.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity5.085.081.571.321.36
Current Ratio1.941.94———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$331.0M$331.0M$-1.23B$-213.0M$1.26B
Returns
ROE-226.9%-226.9%-18.4%0.3%1.5%
Valuation
P/E————2096.00
EV/EBITDA———27.9719.56
P/B3.433.431.361.111.06
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth0.7%0.7%-1.9%-5.5%—
EPS Growth-245.4%-245.4%-1215.2%-2552.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -21.1%

Total return

-21.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-161.24 → -556.98

Residual

-21.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-21.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.