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2816.T$1399.00+0.07%
Fair $1399.00+0.0%

2816.T

Daisho Co.,Ltd.

Consumer Defensive / Food DistributionTokyo

$1399.00

+1.00 (+0.07%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1399.00Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 30/D
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-212.0M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 18/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

30/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 4.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 2816.TLocal privado en este navegador · Daisho Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$13.5B

P/E

29.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

11.1x

↑

ROE

4.7%

↓

Gross Margin

37.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.35

↓
52-Week Range$1399
$1393$1430

TradingView lightweight chart

2816.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,399Periodo +102.2%
Fair value: $1,399

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-8.9%

FCF / Net income

-5.07x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $26.24B · net income $458.0M · FCF $-2.32B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

37.0%-3.9% pts

Operating margin

2.5%-1.3% pts

Net margin

1.7%-0.7% pts

FCF margin

-8.9%-12.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$26.24B$26.24B$25.35B$23.37B$22.67B
Net Income$458.0M$458.0M$599.0M$310.0M$561.0M
EBITDA$1.29B$1.29B$1.57B$1.19B$1.52B
EPS47.4847.4862.0632.2158.21
Gross Margin37.0%37.0%38.3%38.4%40.9%
Operating Margin2.5%2.5%3.5%2.1%3.8%
Net Margin1.7%1.7%2.4%1.3%2.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.350.350.090.100.11
Current Ratio1.501.50———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-2.32B$-2.32B$747.0M$-212.0M$756.0M
Returns
ROE4.7%4.7%6.3%3.4%6.3%
Valuation
P/E29.6729.6723.0442.5623.57
EV/EBITDA11.0711.077.7210.067.46
P/B1.381.381.451.461.48
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.5%3.5%8.5%3.1%—
EPS Growth-23.5%-23.5%92.7%-44.7%—
Dividend Yield1.4%1.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

37.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$124.14

Spread vs growth

-61.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

25.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$150.21

Spread vs growth

-49.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

17.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$241.91

Spread vs growth

-41.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +1.2%

Total return

+1.2%

Start / end P/E

22.6x → 29.5x

EPS bridge

62.06 → 47.48

Residual

-7.1%

EPS growth-23.5%
Multiple rerating+30.4%
Dividend+1.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-7.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.