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2863.HK$0.57-3.39%
Fair $0.57+0.0%

2863.HK

Golden Faith Group Holdings Limited

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionHKSE

$0.57

-0.02 (-3.39%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.57Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 42/C
F-Score: 2/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-32.8M · quality 55.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 26/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

42/100

C

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -7.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 2863.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Golden Faith Group Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$393M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-7.4%

↓

Gross Margin

3.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$1
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

2863.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.570Periodo -40.6%
Fair value: $0.570

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+10.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-7.0%

FCF / Net income

1.83x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $467.1M · net income $-17.9M · FCF $-32.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

3.1%-10.2% pts

Operating margin

-4.5%-10.9% pts

Net margin

-3.8%-7.2% pts

FCF margin

-7.0%-13.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$467.1M$467.1M$736.7M$671.5M$348.6M
Net Income$-17.9M$-17.9M$-6.3M$-21.6M$11.6M
EBITDA$-15.3M$-15.3M$-11.4M$-13.0M$18.5M
EPS——-0.01-0.030.02
Gross Margin3.1%3.1%1.8%3.5%13.3%
Operating Margin-4.5%-4.5%-3.6%-2.3%6.5%
Net Margin-3.8%-3.8%-0.9%-3.2%3.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.020.010.01
Current Ratio6.006.00———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-32.8M$-32.8M$-39.1M$-774000.00$22.2M
Returns
ROE-7.4%-7.4%-2.3%-7.6%3.8%
Valuation
P/E————24.57
EV/EBITDA————8.63
P/B1.581.580.530.600.94
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-36.6%-36.6%9.7%92.6%—
EPS Growth——70.7%-285.1%—
Dividend Yield13.6%13.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +67.7%

Total return

+67.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.01 → n/d

Residual

+54.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+13.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+54.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.