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2906.TW$12.50-0.40%
Fair $12.50+0.0%

2906.TW

Collins Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Specialty RetailTaiwan

$12.50

-0.05 (-0.40%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $12.50Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 28/D
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $61.9M · quality 40.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 35/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

28/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 3.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 2906.TWLocal privado en este navegador · Collins Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.6B

P/E

26.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

6.1x

↓

ROE

3.0%

↓

Gross Margin

29.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.43

↑
52-Week Range$13
$12$16

TradingView lightweight chart

2906.TW price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $12.50Periodo +71.9%
Fair value: $12.50

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.3%

FCF CAGR

+17.3%

FCF margin

4.0%

FCF / Net income

3.63x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $8.88B · net income $98.7M · FCF $357.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

29.5%+4.0% pts

Operating margin

3.9%-1.0% pts

Net margin

1.1%-0.3% pts

FCF margin

4.0%+1.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$8.88B$8.88B$8.87B$8.00B$8.95B
Net Income$98.7M$98.7M$108.0M$118.8M$129.7M
EBITDA$1.05B$1.05B$1.07B$971.0M$959.6M
EPS——0.510.560.62
Gross Margin29.5%29.5%29.3%29.8%25.4%
Operating Margin3.9%3.9%5.1%5.8%4.9%
Net Margin1.1%1.1%1.2%1.5%1.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.431.431.261.001.01
Current Ratio1.331.33———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$357.8M$357.8M$-37.0M$61.9M$221.5M
Returns
ROE3.0%3.0%3.1%3.6%4.2%
Valuation
P/E26.6026.6033.3332.8629.52
EV/EBITDA6.066.067.526.496.57
P/B0.790.791.301.171.23
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth0.1%0.1%10.9%-10.6%—
EPS Growth——-8.9%-9.7%—
Dividend Yield4.7%4.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -16.4%

Total return

-16.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.51 → n/d

Residual

-21.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+4.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-21.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.