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2916.T$714.00-0.70%
Fair $714.00+0.0%

2916.T

Semba Tohka Industries Co., Ltd

Consumer Defensive / ConfectionersTokyo

$714.00

-5.00 (-0.70%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $714.00Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 41/C
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $496.1M · quality 76.7/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 77/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

41/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 2.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 2916.TLocal privado en este navegador · Semba Tohka Industries Co., Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$8.1B

P/E

14.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.0x

↓

ROE

2.7%

↓

Gross Margin

22.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.31

↓
52-Week Range$714
$695$785

TradingView lightweight chart

2916.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $714.00Periodo +87.9%
Fair value: $714.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.5%

FCF CAGR

-8.6%

FCF margin

2.7%

FCF / Net income

1.55x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $18.70B · net income $319.6M · FCF $496.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

22.2%+0.4% pts

Operating margin

4.0%-0.0% pts

Net margin

1.7%-1.2% pts

FCF margin

2.7%-0.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$18.70B$18.70B$19.14B$18.62B$18.42B
Net Income$319.6M$319.6M$495.4M$232.9M$540.1M
EBITDA$1.45B$1.45B$1.75B$1.27B$1.83B
EPS28.0828.0843.5220.46—
Gross Margin22.2%22.2%21.9%19.1%21.8%
Operating Margin4.0%4.0%3.6%1.4%4.0%
Net Margin1.7%1.7%2.6%1.3%2.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.310.310.380.430.47
Current Ratio1.771.77———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$496.1M$496.1M$825.2M$387.9M$648.7M
Returns
ROE2.7%2.7%4.2%2.2%5.2%
Valuation
P/E14.6514.6516.6131.04—
EV/EBITDA5.975.975.306.844.74
P/B0.690.690.690.670.68
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-2.3%-2.3%2.8%1.1%—
EPS Growth-35.5%-35.5%112.7%——
Dividend Yield2.1%2.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

31.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$63.36

Spread vs growth

-66.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

22.2%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$76.66

Spread vs growth

-57.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

16.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$123.46

Spread vs growth

-51.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -0.1%

Total return

-0.1%

Start / end P/E

16.8x → 25.4x

EPS bridge

43.52 → 28.08

Residual

-18.3%

EPS growth-35.5%
Multiple rerating+51.6%
Dividend+2.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-18.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.