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2982.T$387.00-8.75%
Fair $387.00+0.0%

2982.T

A.D.Works Group Co.,Ltd.

Real Estate / Real Estate ServicesTokyo

$387.00

-37.00 (-8.75%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $387.00Fund rank 18/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 4/9
High Debt

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 34.0/100

Data gap 18/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 5/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.22, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · 2982.TLocal privado en este navegador · A.D.Works Group Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$19.1B

P/E

5.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

8.4x

↓

ROE

16.1%

↑

Gross Margin

17.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

2.22

↑
52-Week Range$387
$283$519

TradingView lightweight chart

2982.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $386.00Periodo +109.8%
Fair value: $387.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+34.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-10.8%

FCF / Net income

-2.20x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $67.53B · net income $3.32B · FCF $-7.28B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

17.9%-1.5% pts

Operating margin

7.4%+2.4% pts

Net margin

4.9%+3.0% pts

FCF margin

-10.8%+30.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$67.53B$67.53B$49.91B$41.34B$27.86B
Net Income$3.32B$3.32B$1.61B$1.42B$527.2M
EBITDA$6.28B$6.28B$3.43B$2.79B$1.45B
EPS——33.0829.5511.32
Gross Margin17.9%17.9%17.3%17.0%19.3%
Operating Margin7.4%7.4%6.4%5.9%4.9%
Net Margin4.9%4.9%3.2%3.4%1.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.222.221.902.032.06
Current Ratio5.325.32———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-7.28B$-7.28B$1.27B$-1.12B$-11.52B
Returns
ROE16.1%16.1%8.6%8.3%3.3%
Valuation
P/E5.745.746.418.0512.37
EV/EBITDA8.418.4110.4613.0721.74
P/B0.920.920.550.670.41
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth35.3%35.3%20.7%48.4%—
EPS Growth——11.9%161.0%—
Dividend Yield5.2%5.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +37.8%

Total return

+37.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

33.08 → n/d

Residual

+32.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+5.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+32.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.