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300006.SZ$5.29+0.57%
Fair $5.29+0.0%

300006.SZ

Chongqing Lummy Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.

Healthcare / Drug Manufacturers - GeneralShenzhen

$5.29

+0.03 (+0.57%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.29Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 26/D
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $22.2M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 10/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

26/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -7.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 300006.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Chongqing Lummy Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.6B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-7.7%

↓

Gross Margin

55.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.21

↓
52-Week Range$5
$3$7

TradingView lightweight chart

300006.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.260Periodo +5.8%
Fair value: $5.290

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-4.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.6%

FCF / Net income

0.09x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $775.7M · net income $-134.7M · FCF $-12.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

55.8%-17.7% pts

Operating margin

-7.7%-1.4% pts

Net margin

-17.4%-9.6% pts

FCF margin

-1.6%-0.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$775.7M$775.7M$795.6M$895.6M$884.6M
Net Income$-134.7M$-134.7M$-87.8M$-8.9M$-68.7M
EBITDA$-80.5M$-80.5M$-8.6M$88.8M$21.5M
EPS-0.13-0.13-0.08-0.01-0.07
Gross Margin55.8%55.8%64.4%69.3%73.5%
Operating Margin-7.7%-7.7%-7.6%-5.0%-6.3%
Net Margin-17.4%-17.4%-11.0%-1.0%-7.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.210.210.260.130.17
Current Ratio2.012.01———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-12.1M$-12.1M$109.5M$22.2M$-11.1M
Returns
ROE-7.7%-7.7%-4.7%-0.4%-3.2%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA———37.26169.03
P/B3.183.181.961.861.94
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-2.5%-2.5%-11.2%1.2%—
EPS Growth-53.4%-53.4%-878.8%86.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +46.9%

Total return

+46.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.08 → -0.13

Residual

+46.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+46.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.