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v0.1
300157.SZ$4.68+2.18%
Fair $4.68+0.0%

300157.SZ

New JCM Group Co.,Ltd

Energy / Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesShenzhen

$4.68

+0.10 (+2.18%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.68Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 37/D
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-52.3M · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 11/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

37/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 300157.SZLocal privado en este navegador · New JCM Group Co.,Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.5B

P/E

117.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

43.4x

↑

ROE

24.6%

↑

Gross Margin

32.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.85

↑
52-Week Range$5
$4$10

TradingView lightweight chart

300157.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4.680Periodo -59.9%
Fair value: $4.680

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+15.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-14.0%

FCF / Net income

-2.48x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $718.9M · net income $40.7M · FCF $-100.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

32.6%+13.4% pts

Operating margin

0.6%+12.4% pts

Net margin

5.7%+29.0% pts

FCF margin

-14.0%-30.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$718.9M$718.9M$552.1M$656.6M$463.8M
Net Income$40.7M$40.7M$-165.8M$-174.8M$-108.0M
EBITDA$110.9M$110.9M$-69.5M$-81.3M$38.1M
EPS0.040.04-0.25-0.25-0.16
Gross Margin32.6%32.6%25.1%20.5%19.2%
Operating Margin0.6%0.6%-4.5%-2.4%-11.8%
Net Margin5.7%5.7%-30.0%-26.6%-23.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.850.850.620.220.13
Current Ratio0.730.73———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-100.9M$-100.9M$11.3M$-52.3M$76.6M
Returns
ROE24.6%24.6%-290.0%-119.4%-46.0%
Valuation
P/E117.00117.00———
EV/EBITDA43.3943.39——54.33
P/B28.8028.8031.0916.489.51
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth30.2%30.2%-15.9%41.6%—
EPS Growth116.0%116.0%0.0%-56.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

118.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.42

Spread vs growth

-2.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

65.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.50

Spread vs growth

50.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

35.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.81

Spread vs growth

80.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +21.9%

Total return

+21.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.25 → 0.04

Residual

+21.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+21.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.