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300172.SZ$4.84-1.83%
Fair $4.84+0.0%

300172.SZ

Cec Environmental Protection Co.,Ltd

Industrials / Pollution & Treatment ControlsShenzhen

$4.84

-0.09 (-1.83%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.84Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 7/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 31% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $239.0M · quality 65.7/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 53/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 4.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 300172.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Cec Environmental Protection Co.,Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.3B

P/E

40.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

18.6x

↑

ROE

4.2%

↓

Gross Margin

28.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.04

↓
52-Week Range$5
$5$7

TradingView lightweight chart

300172.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4.840Periodo +11.5%
Fair value: $4.840

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-11.2%

FCF CAGR

+65.6%

FCF margin

54.2%

FCF / Net income

4.75x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $716.4M · net income $81.7M · FCF $388.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

28.0%+3.7% pts

Operating margin

12.2%-0.5% pts

Net margin

11.4%+4.0% pts

FCF margin

54.2%+45.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$716.4M$716.4M$837.3M$1.01B$1.02B
Net Income$81.7M$81.7M$74.2M$85.8M$76.2M
EBITDA$170.7M$170.7M$197.9M$218.5M$222.7M
EPS0.120.120.110.130.11
Gross Margin28.0%28.0%26.9%24.1%24.3%
Operating Margin12.2%12.2%13.6%12.5%12.7%
Net Margin11.4%11.4%8.9%8.5%7.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.040.040.040.140.14
Current Ratio2.712.71———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$388.0M$388.0M$239.0M$80.4M$85.4M
Returns
ROE4.2%4.2%3.9%4.7%4.3%
Valuation
P/E40.3340.3343.0044.9241.18
EV/EBITDA18.6018.6015.9517.5714.54
P/B1.711.711.692.111.77
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-14.4%-14.4%-16.8%-1.7%—
EPS Growth9.1%9.1%-15.4%18.2%—
Dividend Yield2.0%2.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

53.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.43

Spread vs growth

-43.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

34.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.52

Spread vs growth

-25.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

21.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.84

Spread vs growth

-12.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -2.5%

Total return

-2.5%

Start / end P/E

46.1x → 40.3x

EPS bridge

0.11 → 0.12

Residual

-1.1%

EPS growth+9.1%
Multiple rerating-12.5%
Dividend+2.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.