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300218.SZ$13.70+0.29%
Fair $13.70+0.0%

300218.SZ

Anhui Anli Material Technology Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Footwear & AccessoriesShenzhen

$13.70

+0.04 (+0.29%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $13.70Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $218.7M · quality 76.3/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 71/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 300218.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Anhui Anli Material Technology Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.0B

P/E

32.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

10.8x

↑

ROE

8.4%

↑

Gross Margin

23.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.19

↓
52-Week Range$14
$13$27

TradingView lightweight chart

300218.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $13.70Periodo +46.8%
Fair value: $13.70

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.2%

FCF CAGR

-11.6%

FCF margin

4.4%

FCF / Net income

0.76x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.27B · net income $131.3M · FCF $100.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

23.5%+7.7% pts

Operating margin

7.4%+7.0% pts

Net margin

5.8%-1.6% pts

FCF margin

4.4%-3.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.27B$2.27B$2.40B$2.00B$1.95B
Net Income$131.3M$131.3M$194.2M$70.8M$144.6M
EBITDA$241.6M$241.6M$326.6M$184.6M$274.3M
EPS0.610.610.910.350.67
Gross Margin23.5%23.5%24.1%20.9%15.9%
Operating Margin7.4%7.4%10.3%5.9%0.4%
Net Margin5.8%5.8%8.1%3.5%7.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.190.190.240.110.21
Current Ratio2.662.66———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$100.2M$100.2M$218.7M$262.2M$144.9M
Returns
ROE8.4%8.4%13.6%5.6%11.3%
Valuation
P/E32.6232.6216.9836.5615.40
EV/EBITDA10.8110.819.2012.337.54
P/B1.881.882.312.041.74
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-5.4%-5.4%20.1%2.4%—
EPS Growth-32.6%-32.6%162.3%-48.5%—
Dividend Yield1.9%1.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

25.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.22

Spread vs growth

-58.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

19.2%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.47

Spread vs growth

-51.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

14.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$2.37

Spread vs growth

-47.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -6.8%

Total return

-6.8%

Start / end P/E

16.5x → 22.4x

EPS bridge

0.91 → 0.61

Residual

-11.6%

EPS growth-32.6%
Multiple rerating+35.4%
Dividend+1.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-11.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.