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300237.SZ$2.31+1.32%
Fair $2.31+0.0%

300237.SZ

Shandong Meichen Technology Group Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsShenzhen

$2.31

+0.03 (+1.32%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.31Fund rank 18/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 16/F
F-Score: 7/9
High DebtLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 35% · confianza 10%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-40.1M · quality 15.7/100

Data gap 18/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

16/100

F

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 35.71, above the 2.0 threshold ROE is -7.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 300237.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Shandong Meichen Technology Group Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.3B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-735.3%

↓

Gross Margin

7.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

35.71

↑
52-Week Range$2
$2$4

TradingView lightweight chart

300237.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.310Periodo +19.4%
Fair value: $2.310

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+9.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

12.8%

FCF / Net income

-0.57x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.79B · net income $-401.8M · FCF $229.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

7.0%+5.3% pts

Operating margin

-6.2%+21.4% pts

Net margin

-22.4%+76.9% pts

FCF margin

12.8%+21.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.79B$1.79B$1.78B$1.68B$1.37B
Net Income$-401.8M$-401.8M$-568.4M$-1.39B$-1.36B
EBITDA$-175.7M$-175.7M$-207.8M$-723.9M$-1.12B
EPS-0.28-0.28-0.39-0.96-0.94
Gross Margin7.0%7.0%6.7%1.8%1.7%
Operating Margin-6.2%-6.2%-9.0%-18.7%-27.6%
Net Margin-22.4%-22.4%-31.9%-82.6%-99.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity35.7135.71243.8212.625.22
Current Ratio0.920.92———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$229.2M$229.2M$-64.7M$-40.1M$-119.2M
Returns
ROE-735.3%-735.3%-4766.6%-416.6%-146.3%
Valuation
P/B60.6660.66243.229.113.52
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth0.8%0.8%5.6%23.2%—
EPS Growth28.2%28.2%59.4%-2.1%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +29.8%

Total return

+29.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.39 → -0.28

Residual

+29.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+29.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.