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300238.SZ$12.00+1.35%
Fair $12.00+0.0%

300238.SZ

Guanhao Biotech Co.,Ltd.

Healthcare / BiotechnologyShenzhen

$12.00

+0.16 (+1.35%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $12.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 31/D
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $231141.93 · quality 45.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 18/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

31/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific biotech pipeline model required: targets are disabled until product, probability, peak-sales and cash-runway data exists. ROE is 4.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 300238.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Guanhao Biotech Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.2B

P/E

171.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

56.4x

↑

ROE

4.3%

↑

Gross Margin

77.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.22

↓
52-Week Range$12
$12$20

TradingView lightweight chart

300238.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $12.00Periodo +6.9%
Fair value: $12.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.9%

FCF CAGR

+3.8%

FCF margin

8.6%

FCF / Net income

1.37x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $387.7M · net income $24.3M · FCF $33.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

77.1%+0.9% pts

Operating margin

9.1%-4.0% pts

Net margin

6.3%+87.9% pts

FCF margin

8.6%+0.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$387.7M$387.7M$377.5M$404.2M$377.3M
Net Income$24.3M$24.3M$27.4M$31.0M$-307.8M
EBITDA$57.0M$57.0M$55.9M$62.9M$-255.4M
EPS0.090.090.100.12-1.16
Gross Margin77.1%77.1%79.5%79.1%76.2%
Operating Margin9.1%9.1%14.2%13.7%13.0%
Net Margin6.3%6.3%7.3%7.7%-81.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.220.220.200.110.16
Current Ratio1.731.73———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$33.3M$33.3M$-26.6M$231141.93$29.8M
Returns
ROE4.3%4.3%5.1%6.0%-63.4%
Valuation
P/E171.43171.43121.10111.08—
EV/EBITDA56.3956.3959.4153.97—
P/B5.695.696.126.625.64
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.7%2.7%-6.6%7.1%—
EPS Growth-10.0%-10.0%-16.7%110.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

127.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.06

Spread vs growth

-137.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

70.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.29

Spread vs growth

-80.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

36.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.07

Spread vs growth

-46.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -9.6%

Total return

-9.6%

Start / end P/E

132.8x → 133.3x

EPS bridge

0.10 → 0.09

Residual

-0.0%

EPS growth-10.0%
Multiple rerating+0.4%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.