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300258.SZ$12.75+0.47%
Fair $12.75+0.0%

300258.SZ

Jiangsu Pacific Precision Forging Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsShenzhen

$12.75

+0.06 (+0.47%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $12.75Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 36/D
F-Score: 4/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-114.5M · quality 50.0/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

36/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 2.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 300258.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Jiangsu Pacific Precision Forging Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$7.5B

P/E

79.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

12.7x

↑

ROE

2.7%

↓

Gross Margin

23.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.38

↓
52-Week Range$13
$11$18

TradingView lightweight chart

300258.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $12.69Periodo +36.5%
Fair value: $12.75

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.0%

FCF / Net income

-0.00x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.04B · net income $128.5M · FCF $-41751.3

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

23.9%-4.5% pts

Operating margin

9.4%-6.5% pts

Net margin

6.3%-7.4% pts

FCF margin

-0.0%+16.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.04B$2.04B$2.03B$2.10B$1.81B
Net Income$128.5M$128.5M$159.7M$237.6M$247.4M
EBITDA$592.1M$592.1M$610.1M$653.2M$582.6M
EPS0.240.240.330.480.52
Gross Margin23.9%23.9%24.4%25.5%28.4%
Operating Margin9.4%9.4%11.6%13.9%15.8%
Net Margin6.3%6.3%7.9%11.3%13.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.380.380.650.460.41
Current Ratio1.451.45———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-41751.28$-41751.28$-114.5M$-201.7M$-303.5M
Returns
ROE2.7%2.7%4.2%6.3%7.4%
Valuation
P/E79.6979.6925.5525.0822.69
EV/EBITDA12.6912.697.9710.0610.76
P/B1.451.451.051.591.68
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth0.7%0.7%-3.7%16.3%—
EPS Growth-28.1%-28.1%-31.3%-7.9%—
Dividend Yield0.6%0.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

68.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.13

Spread vs growth

-96.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

41.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.37

Spread vs growth

-69.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

24.9%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.20

Spread vs growth

-53.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -18.7%

Total return

-18.7%

Start / end P/E

47.6x → 53.5x

EPS bridge

0.33 → 0.24

Residual

-3.4%

EPS growth-28.1%
Multiple rerating+12.2%
Dividend+0.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-3.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.