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300315.SZ$4.48-2.61%
Fair $4.48+0.0%

300315.SZ

Ourpalm Co., Ltd.

Communication Services / Electronic Gaming & MultimediaShenzhen

$4.48

-0.12 (-2.61%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.48Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 20/D
F-Score: 2/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $13.3M · quality 50.0/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 21/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

20/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -3.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 300315.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Ourpalm Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$12.1B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-3.4%

↓

Gross Margin

73.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$4
$4$8

TradingView lightweight chart

300315.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4.480Periodo +124.7%
Fair value: $4.480

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-16.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.6%

FCF / Net income

0.07x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $706.1M · net income $-157.0M · FCF $-11.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

73.7%-5.2% pts

Operating margin

-5.6%-13.0% pts

Net margin

-22.2%-30.2% pts

FCF margin

-1.6%-12.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$706.1M$706.1M$818.7M$981.8M$1.21B
Net Income$-157.0M$-157.0M$110.9M$186.9M$96.2M
EBITDA$-100.5M$-100.5M$152.2M$231.1M$180.2M
EPS-0.06-0.060.040.070.04
Gross Margin73.7%73.7%77.1%78.4%78.9%
Operating Margin-5.6%-5.6%2.5%5.8%7.4%
Net Margin-22.2%-22.2%13.5%19.0%7.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.010.000.00
Current Ratio8.468.46———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-11.5M$-11.5M$74.2M$13.3M$125.3M
Returns
ROE-3.4%-3.4%2.3%3.9%2.1%
Valuation
P/E——127.7571.7181.25
EV/EBITDA——77.4346.3928.16
P/B2.512.512.912.821.71
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-13.8%-13.8%-16.6%-19.1%—
EPS Growth-250.0%-250.0%-42.9%75.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -6.3%

Total return

-6.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.04 → -0.06

Residual

-6.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-6.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.