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3004.T$2064.00-0.96%
Fair $2064.00+0.0%

3004.T

Shinyei Kaisha

Industrials / ConglomeratesTokyo

$2064.00

-20.00 (-0.96%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2064.00Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 31/D
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $588.0M · quality 31.3/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 23/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

31/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 3004.TLocal privado en este navegador · Shinyei Kaisha
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$8.1B

P/E

6.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

10.3x

↑

ROE

15.0%

↑

Gross Margin

20.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.52

↑
52-Week Range$2064
$1730$2827

TradingView lightweight chart

3004.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,064Periodo +49.6%
Fair value: $2,064

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

1.5%

FCF / Net income

0.45x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $40.16B · net income $1.32B · FCF $588.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

20.9%+1.8% pts

Operating margin

3.5%+1.5% pts

Net margin

3.3%+2.0% pts

FCF margin

1.5%+5.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$40.16B$40.16B$40.20B$39.89B$37.69B
Net Income$1.32B$1.32B$1.66B$949.0M$474.0M
EBITDA$2.00B$2.00B$2.41B$1.73B$1.22B
EPS324.85324.85405.25233.50121.93
Gross Margin20.9%20.9%21.4%20.1%19.1%
Operating Margin3.5%3.5%4.5%3.4%1.9%
Net Margin3.3%3.3%4.1%2.4%1.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.521.521.793.114.35
Current Ratio1.401.40———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$588.0M$588.0M$1.19B$538.0M$-1.53B
Returns
ROE15.0%15.0%21.7%20.4%13.8%
Valuation
P/E6.006.004.003.547.38
EV/EBITDA10.3210.327.809.5714.13
P/B0.960.960.870.721.02
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.1%-0.1%0.8%5.9%—
EPS Growth-19.8%-19.8%73.6%91.5%—
Dividend Yield5.3%5.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-17.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$183.15

Spread vs growth

-2.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-7.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$221.61

Spread vs growth

-12.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

0.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$356.90

Spread vs growth

-20.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +23.4%

Total return

+23.4%

Start / end P/E

4.3x → 6.4x

EPS bridge

405.25 → 324.85

Residual

-9.4%

EPS growth-19.8%
Multiple rerating+47.4%
Dividend+5.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-9.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.