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300401.SZ$12.06-2.03%
Fair $12.06+0.0%

300401.SZ

Zhejiang Garden Biopharmaceutical Co.,Ltd.

Healthcare / Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericShenzhen

$12.06

-0.25 (-2.03%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $12.06Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 30/D
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-14.0M · quality 41.0/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 14/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

30/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 300401.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Zhejiang Garden Biopharmaceutical Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.6B

P/E

28.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

14.1x

↑

ROE

8.7%

↑

Gross Margin

55.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.50

↑
52-Week Range$12
$12$20

TradingView lightweight chart

300401.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $12.31Periodo +510.0%
Fair value: $12.06

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-4.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

9.1%

FCF / Net income

0.37x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.24B · net income $304.9M · FCF $112.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

55.6%-10.4% pts

Operating margin

31.0%+1.2% pts

Net margin

24.6%-2.4% pts

FCF margin

9.1%+9.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.24B$1.24B$1.24B$1.09B$1.42B
Net Income$304.9M$304.9M$309.2M$192.3M$383.7M
EBITDA$563.4M$563.4M$550.2M$382.8M$525.3M
EPS0.510.510.520.320.70
Gross Margin55.6%55.6%58.4%59.9%66.0%
Operating Margin31.0%31.0%27.9%19.9%29.7%
Net Margin24.6%24.6%24.9%17.6%27.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.500.500.560.580.24
Current Ratio2.082.08———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$112.8M$112.8M$-14.0M$-84.6M$-2.9M
Returns
ROE8.7%8.7%9.6%6.6%14.9%
Valuation
P/E28.7128.7127.3835.1920.61
EV/EBITDA14.0714.0716.3418.1415.19
P/B2.072.072.632.343.08
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.5%-0.5%13.6%-22.8%—
EPS Growth-1.9%-1.9%62.5%-54.3%—
Dividend Yield0.9%0.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

28.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.07

Spread vs growth

-29.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

20.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.29

Spread vs growth

-22.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

15.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.09

Spread vs growth

-17.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -20.9%

Total return

-20.9%

Start / end P/E

29.7x → 23.6x

EPS bridge

0.52 → 0.51

Residual

+0.4%

EPS growth-1.9%
Multiple rerating-20.3%
Dividend+0.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.