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300402.SZ$15.67-2.18%
Fair $15.67+0.0%

300402.SZ

Nanjing Baose Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Specialty Industrial MachineryShenzhen

$15.67

-0.35 (-2.18%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $15.67Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 34/D
F-Score: 2/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $12.6M · quality 49.0/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 19/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

34/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 3.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 300402.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Nanjing Baose Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.9B

P/E

74.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

37.0x

↑

ROE

3.6%

↓

Gross Margin

17.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.12

↓
52-Week Range$16
$15$29

TradingView lightweight chart

300402.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $16.02Periodo +148.8%
Fair value: $15.67

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-11.3%

FCF / Net income

-2.89x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.39B · net income $54.1M · FCF $-156.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

17.7%-2.1% pts

Operating margin

6.8%-1.5% pts

Net margin

3.9%-0.4% pts

FCF margin

-11.3%-14.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.39B$1.39B$1.71B$1.71B$1.41B
Net Income$54.1M$54.1M$68.4M$64.1M$60.3M
EBITDA$91.4M$91.4M$109.1M$112.1M$108.5M
EPS0.220.220.280.290.30
Gross Margin17.7%17.7%18.0%15.2%19.7%
Operating Margin6.8%6.8%6.1%4.3%8.2%
Net Margin3.9%3.9%4.0%3.8%4.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.120.120.140.270.74
Current Ratio2.202.20———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-156.4M$-156.4M$297.1M$12.6M$42.2M
Returns
ROE3.6%3.6%4.7%4.5%8.9%
Valuation
P/E74.6274.6248.8475.6470.43
EV/EBITDA37.0237.0225.1640.2142.16
P/B2.552.552.293.426.30
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-18.8%-18.8%0.0%21.0%—
EPS Growth-21.0%-21.0%-4.0%-2.0%—
Dividend Yield0.6%0.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

84.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.39

Spread vs growth

-105.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

50.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.68

Spread vs growth

-71.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

28.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.71

Spread vs growth

-49.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -11.1%

Total return

-11.1%

Start / end P/E

63.2x → 70.7x

EPS bridge

0.28 → 0.22

Residual

-2.5%

EPS growth-21.0%
Multiple rerating+11.8%
Dividend+0.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-2.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.