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300412.SZ$4.59-2.55%
Fair $4.59+0.0%

300412.SZ

Zhejiang Canaan Technology Limited

Industrials / Specialty Industrial MachineryShenzhen

$4.59

-0.12 (-2.55%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.59Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 31/D
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $65.1M · quality 51.3/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 26/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

31/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 2.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 300412.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Zhejiang Canaan Technology Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.3B

P/E

91.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

23.9x

↑

ROE

2.8%

↓

Gross Margin

24.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.46

↑
52-Week Range$5
$4$6

TradingView lightweight chart

300412.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4.590Periodo +75.3%
Fair value: $4.590

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

11.8%

FCF / Net income

4.90x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.23B · net income $29.6M · FCF $145.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

24.6%-1.6% pts

Operating margin

4.1%+1.5% pts

Net margin

2.4%+9.2% pts

FCF margin

11.8%+20.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.23B$1.23B$1.38B$1.05B$1.10B
Net Income$29.6M$29.6M$36.3M$-23.4M$-75.2M
EBITDA$101.4M$101.4M$101.7M$27.8M$-45.0M
EPS0.060.060.07-0.05-0.15
Gross Margin24.6%24.6%24.6%27.5%26.2%
Operating Margin4.1%4.1%5.3%1.6%2.6%
Net Margin2.4%2.4%2.6%-2.2%-6.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.460.460.410.410.26
Current Ratio1.321.32———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$145.2M$145.2M$65.1M$-227.9M$-97.1M
Returns
ROE2.8%2.8%3.4%-2.3%-7.2%
Valuation
P/E91.8091.8060.29——
EV/EBITDA23.9123.9123.1999.37—
P/B2.162.162.082.602.94
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-11.0%-11.0%32.1%-5.1%—
EPS Growth-14.3%-14.3%240.0%66.7%—
Dividend Yield1.2%1.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

89.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.41

Spread vs growth

-103.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

52.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.49

Spread vs growth

-66.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

29.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.79

Spread vs growth

-43.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -7.3%

Total return

-7.3%

Start / end P/E

71.7x → 76.5x

EPS bridge

0.07 → 0.06

Residual

-1.0%

EPS growth-14.3%
Multiple rerating+6.7%
Dividend+1.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.