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300435.SZ$18.60+0.59%
Fair $18.60+0.0%

300435.SZ

Hangzhou Zhongtai Cryogenic Technology Corporation

Industrials / Specialty Industrial MachineryShenzhen

$18.60

+0.11 (+0.59%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $18.60Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 47/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $248.3M · quality 58.3/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 42/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

47/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 300435.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Hangzhou Zhongtai Cryogenic Technology Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$7.2B

P/E

18.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

10.1x

↑

ROE

13.2%

↑

Gross Margin

29.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$19
$14$37

TradingView lightweight chart

300435.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $18.60Periodo +163.1%
Fair value: $18.60

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-5.5%

FCF CAGR

+153.0%

FCF margin

16.2%

FCF / Net income

0.99x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.75B · net income $450.4M · FCF $445.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

29.7%+12.6% pts

Operating margin

20.3%+9.3% pts

Net margin

16.4%+7.8% pts

FCF margin

16.2%+15.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.75B$2.75B$2.72B$3.05B$3.26B
Net Income$450.4M$450.4M$-78.0M$350.1M$278.0M
EBITDA$679.6M$679.6M$113.3M$562.2M$462.4M
EPS1.171.17-0.200.910.73
Gross Margin29.7%29.7%19.0%19.2%17.1%
Operating Margin20.3%20.3%11.2%12.4%10.9%
Net Margin16.4%16.4%-2.9%11.5%8.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.040.310.24
Current Ratio2.362.36———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$445.4M$445.4M$248.3M$138.0M$27.5M
Returns
ROE13.2%13.2%-2.6%11.1%9.9%
Valuation
P/E18.2418.24—15.4918.96
EV/EBITDA10.0710.0732.968.4210.06
P/B2.092.091.481.711.87
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.3%1.3%-10.9%-6.4%—
EPS Growth685.0%685.0%-122.0%24.7%—
Dividend Yield1.3%1.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

12.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.65

Spread vs growth

672.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

11.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$2.00

Spread vs growth

673.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

10.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$3.22

Spread vs growth

674.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +35.3%

Total return

+35.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.20 → 1.17

Residual

+34.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+34.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.