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300471.SZ$9.82-2.87%
Fair $9.82+0.0%

300471.SZ

Houpu Clean Energy Group Co., Ltd.

Energy / Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesShenzhen

$9.82

-0.29 (-2.87%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $9.82Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 41/C
F-Score: 8/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $26.2M · quality 48.3/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 19/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

41/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is 0.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 300471.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Houpu Clean Energy Group Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.6B

P/E

528.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

51.7x

↑

ROE

0.5%

↓

Gross Margin

29.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.13

↓
52-Week Range$10
$9$17

TradingView lightweight chart

300471.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $10.11Periodo -35.0%
Fair value: $9.820

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+14.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

14.6%

FCF / Net income

20.14x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.08B · net income $7.8M · FCF $158.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

29.4%+8.9% pts

Operating margin

5.5%+16.5% pts

Net margin

0.7%+19.7% pts

FCF margin

14.6%+34.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.08B$1.08B$630.3M$936.2M$713.7M
Net Income$7.8M$7.8M$-82.4M$-70.2M$-135.6M
EBITDA$69.1M$69.1M$-43.5M$11.8M$-78.7M
EPS0.020.02-0.20-0.18-0.35
Gross Margin29.4%29.4%24.5%20.3%20.6%
Operating Margin5.5%5.5%-10.7%-1.8%-11.0%
Net Margin0.7%0.7%-13.1%-7.5%-19.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.130.130.150.250.33
Current Ratio1.571.57———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$158.0M$158.0M$26.2M$24.3M$-138.9M
Returns
ROE0.5%0.5%-7.2%-5.7%-12.7%
Valuation
P/E527.96527.96———
EV/EBITDA51.7051.70—432.17—
P/B2.642.643.264.224.48
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth71.2%71.2%-32.7%31.2%—
EPS Growth109.1%109.1%-13.9%49.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

260.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.87

Spread vs growth

-151.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

124.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.05

Spread vs growth

-15.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

57.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.70

Spread vs growth

52.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -3.5%

Total return

-3.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.20 → 0.02

Residual

-3.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-3.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.