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300515.SZ$15.97-1.48%
Fair $15.97+0.0%

300515.SZ

Hunan Sundy Science and Technology Co., Ltd

Technology / Scientific & Technical InstrumentsShenzhen

$15.97

-0.24 (-1.48%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $15.97Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 47/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $164.3M · quality 68.7/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 89/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

47/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 300515.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Hunan Sundy Science and Technology Co., Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.3B

P/E

17.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

14.3x

↑

ROE

19.7%

↑

Gross Margin

54.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$16
$15$28

TradingView lightweight chart

300515.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $16.21Periodo +162.7%
Fair value: $15.97

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+18.8%

FCF CAGR

+27.4%

FCF margin

31.4%

FCF / Net income

1.13x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $659.9M · net income $183.6M · FCF $207.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

54.5%-4.5% pts

Operating margin

30.0%+4.5% pts

Net margin

27.8%+4.4% pts

FCF margin

31.4%+5.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$659.9M$659.9M$576.6M$464.5M$393.6M
Net Income$183.6M$183.6M$143.2M$53.7M$92.2M
EBITDA$216.7M$216.7M$176.9M$71.2M$121.2M
EPS0.910.910.710.260.45
Gross Margin54.5%54.5%53.8%58.6%59.0%
Operating Margin30.0%30.0%26.5%29.0%25.5%
Net Margin27.8%27.8%24.8%11.6%23.4%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio2.212.21———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$207.0M$207.0M$164.3M$108.8M$100.1M
Returns
ROE19.7%19.7%17.8%7.3%13.0%
Valuation
P/E16.9916.9915.4443.1629.41
EV/EBITDA14.2614.2612.0430.6921.86
P/B3.443.442.743.153.83
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth14.4%14.4%24.1%18.0%—
EPS Growth28.6%28.6%173.3%-41.6%—
Dividend Yield2.5%2.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

15.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.42

Spread vs growth

12.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

13.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.71

Spread vs growth

15.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

11.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$2.76

Spread vs growth

17.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +2.7%

Total return

+2.7%

Start / end P/E

22.4x → 17.5x

EPS bridge

0.71 → 0.91

Residual

-6.3%

EPS growth+28.6%
Multiple rerating-22.1%
Dividend+2.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-6.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.