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300533.SZ$16.61+3.23%
Fair $16.61+0.0%

300533.SZ

Shenzhen Bingchuan Network Co.,Ltd.

Communication Services / Electronic Gaming & MultimediaShenzhen

$16.61

+0.52 (+3.23%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $16.61Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 24%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $245.7M · quality 57.3/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 39/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 300533.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Shenzhen Bingchuan Network Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.5B

P/E

19.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

6.8x

↓

ROE

31.6%

↑

Gross Margin

93.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$17
$16$33

TradingView lightweight chart

300533.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $16.61Periodo -1.9%
Fair value: $16.61

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.7%

FCF CAGR

+16.6%

FCF margin

25.5%

FCF / Net income

1.35x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.55B · net income $483.5M · FCF $651.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

93.3%-0.8% pts

Operating margin

18.0%+12.9% pts

Net margin

18.9%+12.6% pts

FCF margin

25.5%+5.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.55B$2.55B$2.79B$2.78B$2.05B
Net Income$483.5M$483.5M$-247.2M$273.3M$128.9M
EBITDA$533.3M$533.3M$-194.5M$335.8M$157.5M
EPS2.062.06-1.061.170.56
Gross Margin93.3%93.3%93.3%95.0%94.0%
Operating Margin18.0%18.0%-9.6%9.8%5.1%
Net Margin18.9%18.9%-8.9%9.8%6.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.050.050.02
Current Ratio1.931.93———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$651.9M$651.9M$-177.9M$245.7M$411.1M
Returns
ROE31.6%31.6%-19.5%16.7%7.1%
Valuation
P/E19.3119.31—16.6523.71
EV/EBITDA6.836.83—11.8414.90
P/B2.552.552.402.791.69
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-8.4%-8.4%0.2%36.0%—
EPS Growth294.3%294.3%-190.6%108.9%—
Dividend Yield10.3%10.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-10.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.47

Spread vs growth

304.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-2.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.78

Spread vs growth

297.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

3.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$2.87

Spread vs growth

291.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +8.1%

Total return

+8.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-1.06 → 2.06

Residual

-2.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+10.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-2.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.