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300542.SZ$13.35+3.49%
Fair $13.35+0.0%

300542.SZ

Brilliance Technology Co., Ltd.

Technology / Software - ApplicationShenzhen

$13.35

+0.45 (+3.49%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $13.35Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 17/F
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $102.7M · quality 51.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 28/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

17/100

F

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -2.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 300542.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Brilliance Technology Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.0B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

370.9x

↑

ROE

-2.4%

↓

Gross Margin

18.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.65

↑
52-Week Range$13
$13$27

TradingView lightweight chart

300542.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $13.35Periodo +240.4%
Fair value: $13.35

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-9.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-25.0%

FCF / Net income

20.09x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.07B · net income $-13.3M · FCF $-268.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

18.0%-1.7% pts

Operating margin

1.7%-4.9% pts

Net margin

-1.2%-4.8% pts

FCF margin

-25.0%-23.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.07B$1.07B$1.35B$1.73B$1.45B
Net Income$-13.3M$-13.3M$-81.5M$36.4M$52.1M
EBITDA$12.0M$12.0M$-65.5M$63.0M$82.0M
EPS-0.04-0.04-0.270.120.17
Gross Margin18.0%18.0%15.1%17.7%19.7%
Operating Margin1.7%1.7%0.7%5.9%6.5%
Net Margin-1.2%-1.2%-6.0%2.1%3.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.650.650.400.530.44
Current Ratio1.401.40———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-268.2M$-268.2M$102.7M$191.7M$-29.1M
Returns
ROE-2.4%-2.4%-14.4%5.6%8.3%
Valuation
P/E———107.5070.65
EV/EBITDA370.89370.89—59.1344.17
P/B8.098.099.926.025.86
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-20.4%-20.4%-22.2%19.2%—
EPS Growth85.2%85.2%-325.0%-29.4%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -30.3%

Total return

-30.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.27 → -0.04

Residual

-30.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-30.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.