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300577.SZ$16.93-0.59%
Fair $16.93+0.0%

300577.SZ

Anhui Korrun Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Footwear & AccessoriesShenzhen

$16.93

-0.10 (-0.59%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $16.93Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $299.6M · quality 40.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 29/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 300577.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Anhui Korrun Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.1B

P/E

11.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.2x

↓

ROE

15.4%

↑

Gross Margin

23.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.87

↑
52-Week Range$17
$17$27

TradingView lightweight chart

300577.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $16.93Periodo +76.8%
Fair value: $16.93

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+21.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

6.6%

FCF / Net income

0.97x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.89B · net income $331.1M · FCF $320.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

23.9%+2.3% pts

Operating margin

11.7%+4.8% pts

Net margin

6.8%+5.1% pts

FCF margin

6.6%+11.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$4.89B$4.89B$4.24B$3.10B$2.74B
Net Income$331.1M$331.1M$381.0M$115.6M$46.9M
EBITDA$661.5M$661.5M$641.0M$255.5M$170.7M
EPS1.381.381.550.480.20
Gross Margin23.9%23.9%22.9%24.4%21.6%
Operating Margin11.7%11.7%9.4%9.1%6.9%
Net Margin6.8%6.8%9.0%3.7%1.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.870.870.590.450.59
Current Ratio1.161.16———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$320.6M$320.6M$61.5M$299.6M$-133.6M
Returns
ROE15.4%15.4%17.8%6.2%2.7%
Valuation
P/E11.8411.8415.1030.4680.50
EV/EBITDA7.157.1510.0214.4624.07
P/B1.891.892.691.902.20
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth15.4%15.4%36.6%13.3%—
EPS Growth-11.0%-11.0%222.9%140.0%—
Dividend Yield2.5%2.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

2.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.50

Spread vs growth

-13.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

5.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.82

Spread vs growth

-16.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

7.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$2.93

Spread vs growth

-18.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -15.4%

Total return

-15.4%

Start / end P/E

13.3x → 12.3x

EPS bridge

1.55 → 1.38

Residual

+0.9%

EPS growth-11.0%
Multiple rerating-7.8%
Dividend+2.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.