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300585.SZ$18.15-0.66%
Fair $18.15+0.0%

300585.SZ

NanJing AoLian AE&EA Co.,Ltd

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsShenzhen

$18.15

-0.12 (-0.66%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $18.15Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $4.5M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 6/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -10.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 300585.SZLocal privado en este navegador · NanJing AoLian AE&EA Co.,Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.1B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-10.9%

↓

Gross Margin

19.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$18
$14$24

TradingView lightweight chart

300585.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $18.27Periodo +133.9%
Fair value: $18.15

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

5.7%

FCF / Net income

-0.38x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $466.7M · net income $-69.7M · FCF $26.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

19.6%-8.2% pts

Operating margin

-1.0%+0.1% pts

Net margin

-14.9%-19.8% pts

FCF margin

5.7%+14.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$466.7M$466.7M$440.2M$488.2M$402.5M
Net Income$-69.7M$-69.7M$-8.5M$5.2M$19.8M
EBITDA$-49.6M$-49.6M$15.4M$29.0M$46.6M
EPS-0.41-0.41-0.050.030.12
Gross Margin19.6%19.6%22.6%26.5%27.8%
Operating Margin-1.0%-1.0%-2.9%2.4%-1.1%
Net Margin-14.9%-14.9%-1.9%1.1%4.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.000.030.03
Current Ratio2.992.99———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$26.8M$26.8M$4.5M$-32.3M$-34.8M
Returns
ROE-10.9%-10.9%-1.2%0.7%2.8%
Valuation
P/E———511.15219.05
EV/EBITDA——145.0690.0091.59
P/B4.864.863.273.716.02
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth6.0%6.0%-9.8%21.3%—
EPS Growth-719.5%-719.5%-263.0%-73.6%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +27.3%

Total return

+27.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.05 → -0.41

Residual

+27.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+27.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.