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300594.SZ$17.79+3.13%
Fair $17.79+0.0%

300594.SZ

Shandong Longertek Technology Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsShenzhen

$17.79

+0.54 (+3.13%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $17.79Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 20/D
F-Score: 7/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-96.1M · quality 51.3/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 24/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

20/100

D

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -1.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 300594.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Shandong Longertek Technology Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.6B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

60.4x

↑

ROE

-1.9%

↓

Gross Margin

27.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.44

↓
52-Week Range$18
$16$34

TradingView lightweight chart

300594.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $17.79Periodo -35.0%
Fair value: $17.79

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

18.0%

FCF / Net income

-9.35x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $781.4M · net income $-15.1M · FCF $140.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

27.1%+5.4% pts

Operating margin

4.8%+6.2% pts

Net margin

-1.9%+5.6% pts

FCF margin

18.0%+65.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$781.4M$781.4M$881.0M$902.2M$770.7M
Net Income$-15.1M$-15.1M$-76.4M$-3.2M$-58.0M
EBITDA$31.9M$31.9M$-41.1M$23.9M$-45.0M
EPS-0.16-0.16-0.83-0.03-0.64
Gross Margin27.1%27.1%20.4%23.1%21.7%
Operating Margin4.8%4.8%-4.3%3.5%-1.4%
Net Margin-1.9%-1.9%-8.7%-0.4%-7.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.440.440.550.390.38
Current Ratio1.501.50———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$140.9M$140.9M$-107.5M$-96.1M$-362.0M
Returns
ROE-1.9%-1.9%-9.1%-0.3%-6.5%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA60.3660.36—102.71—
P/B2.162.161.722.412.03
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-11.3%-11.3%-2.4%17.1%—
EPS Growth80.7%80.7%-2666.7%95.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +4.1%

Total return

+4.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.83 → -0.16

Residual

+4.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+4.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.