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300599.SZ$13.06+3.57%
Fair $13.06+0.0%

300599.SZ

Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co., Ltd

Industrials / Building Products & EquipmentShenzhen

$13.06

+0.45 (+3.57%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $13.06Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 6/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-61.7M · quality 52.7/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 23/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -4.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 300599.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Guangdong Xiongsu Technology Group Co., Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.7B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

211.0x

↑

ROE

-4.2%

↓

Gross Margin

12.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.02

↓
52-Week Range$13
$7$14

TradingView lightweight chart

300599.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $13.06Periodo +17.1%
Fair value: $13.06

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-19.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-6.8%

FCF / Net income

0.76x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $909.6M · net income $-80.8M · FCF $-61.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.1%-1.9% pts

Operating margin

-4.1%-6.1% pts

Net margin

-8.9%-8.8% pts

FCF margin

-6.8%-9.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$909.6M$909.6M$1.03B$1.29B$1.77B
Net Income$-80.8M$-80.8M$-110.7M$26.8M$-1.7M
EBITDA$19.2M$19.2M$814833.96$142.6M$104.0M
EPS-0.23-0.23-0.310.07—
Gross Margin12.1%12.1%9.9%16.4%14.0%
Operating Margin-4.1%-4.1%-6.1%3.5%2.0%
Net Margin-8.9%-8.9%-10.7%2.1%-0.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.020.020.030.030.04
Current Ratio4.994.99———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-61.7M$-61.7M$-114.9M$94.9M$54.7M
Returns
ROE-4.2%-4.2%-5.5%1.2%-0.1%
Valuation
P/E———115.86—
EV/EBITDA210.96210.962283.4316.0918.77
P/B2.392.391.211.381.19
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-11.8%-11.8%-20.2%-27.0%—
EPS Growth25.8%25.8%-542.9%——
Dividend Yield0.8%0.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +55.7%

Total return

+55.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.31 → -0.23

Residual

+54.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+54.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.