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300639.SZ$5.82+1.04%
Fair $5.82+0.0%

300639.SZ

Guangdong Hybribio Biotech Co.,Ltd.

Healthcare / Diagnostics & ResearchShenzhen

$5.82

+0.06 (+1.04%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.82Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 22/D
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-65.7M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 14/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

22/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific biotech pipeline model required: targets are disabled until product, probability, peak-sales and cash-runway data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -3.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 300639.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Guangdong Hybribio Biotech Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.8B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-3.5%

↓

Gross Margin

45.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.02

↓
52-Week Range$6
$5$10

TradingView lightweight chart

300639.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.820Periodo +35.0%
Fair value: $5.820

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-50.7%

FCF CAGR

-24.3%

FCF margin

37.2%

FCF / Net income

-1.90x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $669.6M · net income $-130.9M · FCF $249.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

45.5%-23.9% pts

Operating margin

-20.4%-69.9% pts

Net margin

-19.6%-50.4% pts

FCF margin

37.2%+26.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$669.6M$669.6M$815.5M$1.10B$5.60B
Net Income$-130.9M$-130.9M$-654.9M$140.5M$1.73B
EBITDA$-6.7M$-6.7M$-661.6M$220.2M$2.31B
EPS-0.21-0.21-1.020.252.62
Gross Margin45.5%45.5%47.7%61.0%69.4%
Operating Margin-20.4%-20.4%-22.6%0.9%49.6%
Net Margin-19.6%-19.6%-80.3%12.7%30.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.020.020.020.010.03
Current Ratio5.385.38———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$249.2M$249.2M$-69.6M$-65.7M$574.9M
Returns
ROE-3.5%-3.5%-15.9%2.9%35.2%
Valuation
P/E———36.124.41
EV/EBITDA———19.832.90
P/B0.970.970.871.041.55
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-17.9%-17.9%-26.2%-80.3%—
EPS Growth79.4%79.4%-508.0%-90.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +7.8%

Total return

+7.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-1.02 → -0.21

Residual

+7.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+7.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.