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300640.SZ$6.53+3.64%
Fair $6.53+0.0%

300640.SZ

Profit Cultural and Creative Group Co., Ltd.

Consumer Defensive / Household & Personal ProductsShenzhen

$6.53

+0.24 (+3.64%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $6.53Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 5/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-83.0M · quality 57.7/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 20/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 1.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 300640.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Profit Cultural and Creative Group Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.0B

P/E

217.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

54.8x

↑

ROE

1.6%

↓

Gross Margin

15.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.17

↓
52-Week Range$7
$6$11

TradingView lightweight chart

300640.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $6.830Periodo +12.4%
Fair value: $6.530

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-7.9%

FCF / Net income

-6.42x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.05B · net income $12.9M · FCF $-83.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

15.4%-0.3% pts

Operating margin

2.0%-2.9% pts

Net margin

1.2%-4.8% pts

FCF margin

-7.9%-7.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.05B$1.05B$906.7M$721.1M$837.7M
Net Income$12.9M$12.9M$9.1M$26.4M$50.2M
EBITDA$38.2M$38.2M$36.6M$51.0M$74.1M
EPS0.040.040.030.080.17
Gross Margin15.4%15.4%16.4%19.3%15.8%
Operating Margin2.0%2.0%2.6%4.3%4.9%
Net Margin1.2%1.2%1.0%3.7%6.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.170.170.04—0.19
Current Ratio1.321.32———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-83.0M$-83.0M$-95.3M$-30.8M$-5.2M
Returns
ROE1.6%1.6%1.1%3.2%6.1%
Valuation
P/E217.67217.67181.2376.4234.97
EV/EBITDA54.8554.8544.4036.4320.75
P/B2.512.512.052.472.12
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth16.2%16.2%25.7%-13.9%—
EPS Growth41.6%41.6%-65.4%-49.8%—
Dividend Yield0.3%0.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

140.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.58

Spread vs growth

-99.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

76.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.70

Spread vs growth

-34.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

39.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.13

Spread vs growth

2.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +12.6%

Total return

+12.6%

Start / end P/E

207.5x → 164.6x

EPS bridge

0.03 → 0.04

Residual

-8.6%

EPS growth+41.6%
Multiple rerating-20.7%
Dividend+0.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-8.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.