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300653.SZ$16.44+3.27%
Fair $16.44+0.0%

300653.SZ

Yantai Zhenghai Biotechnology Co., Ltd.

Healthcare / BiotechnologyShenzhen

$16.44

+0.52 (+3.27%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $16.44Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 19/F
F-Score: 3/9
Margin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $135.8M · quality 65.0/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 82/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

19/100

F

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific biotech pipeline model required: targets are disabled until product, probability, peak-sales and cash-runway data exists. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 300653.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Yantai Zhenghai Biotechnology Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.0B

P/E

42.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

26.0x

↑

ROE

9.3%

↑

Gross Margin

85.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$16
$16$24

TradingView lightweight chart

300653.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $16.44Periodo +119.1%
Fair value: $16.44

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-5.6%

FCF CAGR

-12.6%

FCF margin

24.2%

FCF / Net income

1.07x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $364.1M · net income $82.4M · FCF $88.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

85.9%-2.8% pts

Operating margin

20.8%-26.6% pts

Net margin

22.6%-20.2% pts

FCF margin

24.2%-6.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$364.1M$364.1M$363.2M$413.7M$433.2M
Net Income$82.4M$82.4M$134.6M$191.0M$185.4M
EBITDA$110.9M$110.9M$175.0M$238.9M$231.2M
EPS0.460.460.751.061.28
Gross Margin85.9%85.9%87.6%89.9%88.7%
Operating Margin20.8%20.8%37.0%46.6%47.4%
Net Margin22.6%22.6%37.1%46.2%42.8%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio8.428.42———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$88.1M$88.1M$135.8M$148.6M$131.8M
Returns
ROE9.3%9.3%15.1%20.1%21.4%
Valuation
P/E42.1542.1526.6725.5834.06
EV/EBITDA25.9925.9919.8520.1326.96
P/B3.313.314.045.157.30
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth0.3%0.3%-12.2%-4.5%—
EPS Growth-38.7%-38.7%-29.2%-17.2%—
Dividend Yield1.7%1.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

46.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.46

Spread vs growth

-85.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

30.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.77

Spread vs growth

-69.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

20.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.84

Spread vs growth

-58.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -15.9%

Total return

-15.9%

Start / end P/E

26.6x → 35.7x

EPS bridge

0.75 → 0.46

Residual

-13.3%

EPS growth-38.7%
Multiple rerating+34.3%
Dividend+1.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-13.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.