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300709.SZ$48.10+7.70%
Fair $48.10+0.0%

300709.SZ

Jiangsu Gian Technology Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Metal FabricationShenzhen

$48.10

+3.44 (+7.70%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $48.10Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 56/C
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $242.5M · quality 76.3/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 70/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

56/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 2.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 300709.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Jiangsu Gian Technology Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$9.0B

P/E

534.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

34.3x

↑

ROE

2.3%

↓

Gross Margin

27.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.12

↓
52-Week Range$48
$36$62

TradingView lightweight chart

300709.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $48.10Periodo +61.6%
Fair value: $48.10

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.1%

FCF CAGR

+25.0%

FCF margin

6.8%

FCF / Net income

3.87x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.91B · net income $51.3M · FCF $198.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

27.9%+5.7% pts

Operating margin

9.0%+4.5% pts

Net margin

1.8%+11.0% pts

FCF margin

6.8%+2.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.91B$2.91B$2.16B$2.20B$2.51B
Net Income$51.3M$51.3M$119.7M$142.6M$-232.3M
EBITDA$240.2M$240.2M$279.8M$339.2M$-72.0M
EPS0.270.270.640.77-1.25
Gross Margin27.9%27.9%28.8%29.4%22.2%
Operating Margin9.0%9.0%10.4%12.0%4.6%
Net Margin1.8%1.8%5.5%6.5%-9.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.120.120.040.090.24
Current Ratio1.431.43———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$198.7M$198.7M$292.2M$242.5M$101.9M
Returns
ROE2.3%2.3%5.5%6.9%-12.2%
Valuation
P/E534.44534.4454.9438.16—
EV/EBITDA34.2734.2721.0714.69—
P/B4.154.153.052.622.74
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth34.8%34.8%-1.7%-12.4%—
EPS Growth-57.8%-57.8%-16.9%161.6%—
Dividend Yield0.3%0.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

151.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.27

Spread vs growth

-208.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

80.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$5.16

Spread vs growth

-138.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

40.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$8.32

Spread vs growth

-98.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +20.5%

Total return

+20.5%

Start / end P/E

62.5x → 178.1x

EPS bridge

0.64 → 0.27

Residual

-107.0%

EPS growth-57.8%
Multiple rerating+185.0%
Dividend+0.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-107.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.