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300770.SZ$35.83+2.96%
Fair $35.83+0.0%

300770.SZ

Guangdong Southern New Media Co.,Ltd.

Communication Services / EntertainmentShenzhen

$35.83

+1.03 (+2.96%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $35.83Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 6/9
Margin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $540.9M · quality 74.7/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 78/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 300770.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Guangdong Southern New Media Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$8.2B

P/E

12.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

8.3x

↑

ROE

18.5%

↑

Gross Margin

47.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$36
$34$51

TradingView lightweight chart

300770.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $35.83Periodo +23.8%
Fair value: $35.83

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.4%

FCF CAGR

-8.2%

FCF margin

41.6%

FCF / Net income

1.02x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.63B · net income $660.4M · FCF $676.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

47.6%-6.2% pts

Operating margin

38.9%-5.6% pts

Net margin

40.6%-7.8% pts

FCF margin

41.6%-19.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.63B$1.63B$1.58B$1.52B$1.43B
Net Income$660.4M$660.4M$657.9M$707.7M$691.3M
EBITDA$782.7M$782.7M$754.6M$787.3M$815.2M
EPS2.892.892.873.093.02
Gross Margin47.6%47.6%50.2%51.7%53.8%
Operating Margin38.9%38.9%41.1%43.2%44.4%
Net Margin40.6%40.6%41.7%46.5%48.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.000.000.01
Current Ratio2.682.68———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$676.6M$676.6M$305.7M$540.9M$873.8M
Returns
ROE18.5%18.5%18.2%19.2%19.9%
Valuation
P/E12.7112.7113.3111.9912.36
EV/EBITDA8.318.318.436.476.46
P/B2.292.292.432.312.46
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.0%3.0%3.6%6.6%—
EPS Growth0.7%0.7%-7.1%2.3%—
Dividend Yield9.9%9.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

3.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$3.18

Spread vs growth

-2.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

5.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$3.85

Spread vs growth

-5.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

7.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$6.20

Spread vs growth

-7.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +0.6%

Total return

+0.6%

Start / end P/E

13.8x → 12.4x

EPS bridge

2.87 → 2.89

Residual

-0.1%

EPS growth+0.7%
Multiple rerating-9.9%
Dividend+9.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.