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300771.SZ$11.85-1.41%
Fair $11.85+0.0%

300771.SZ

Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Security & Protection ServicesShenzhen

$11.85

-0.17 (-1.41%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $11.85Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $92.9M · quality 67.7/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 51/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 4.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 300771.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.8B

P/E

30.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

17.9x

↑

ROE

4.2%

↓

Gross Margin

31.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.10

↓
52-Week Range$12
$11$19

TradingView lightweight chart

300771.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $12.02Periodo -33.8%
Fair value: $11.85

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-11.7%

FCF CAGR

-28.3%

FCF margin

15.7%

FCF / Net income

1.14x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $599.8M · net income $82.7M · FCF $94.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

31.9%+0.7% pts

Operating margin

11.6%-0.3% pts

Net margin

13.8%-5.9% pts

FCF margin

15.7%-13.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$599.8M$599.8M$451.0M$409.9M$872.6M
Net Income$82.7M$82.7M$39.5M$24.5M$172.3M
EBITDA$135.5M$135.5M$87.9M$70.6M$235.3M
EPS0.350.350.170.100.72
Gross Margin31.9%31.9%27.8%24.4%31.2%
Operating Margin11.6%11.6%-1.6%-6.5%11.8%
Net Margin13.8%13.8%8.8%6.0%19.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.100.100.090.060.04
Current Ratio5.255.25———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$94.3M$94.3M$-7.1M$92.9M$255.8M
Returns
ROE4.2%4.2%2.0%1.3%8.5%
Valuation
P/E30.3830.3856.71108.4021.28
EV/EBITDA17.8517.8521.8131.4911.49
P/B1.411.411.151.361.82
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth33.0%33.0%10.0%-53.0%—
EPS Growth105.9%105.9%70.0%-86.1%—
Dividend Yield1.1%1.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

44.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.05

Spread vs growth

61.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

29.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.27

Spread vs growth

76.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

19.3%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.05

Spread vs growth

86.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +8.3%

Total return

+8.3%

Start / end P/E

65.0x → 33.9x

EPS bridge

0.17 → 0.35

Residual

-50.7%

EPS growth+105.9%
Multiple rerating-47.9%
Dividend+1.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-50.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.