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300783.SZ$17.81-3.52%
Fair $17.81+0.0%

300783.SZ

Three Squirrels Inc.

Consumer Defensive / Packaged FoodsShenzhen

$17.81

-0.65 (-3.52%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $17.81Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 35/D
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $264.1M · quality 47.7/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 18/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

35/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 300783.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Three Squirrels Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$7.2B

P/E

37.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

21.1x

↑

ROE

5.2%

↓

Gross Margin

24.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.28

↓
52-Week Range$18
$17$31

TradingView lightweight chart

300783.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $18.46Periodo -12.7%
Fair value: $17.81

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.3%

FCF / Net income

-0.19x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $10.19B · net income $155.4M · FCF $-28.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

24.4%-2.3% pts

Operating margin

1.8%+0.0% pts

Net margin

1.5%-0.2% pts

FCF margin

-0.3%+1.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$10.19B$10.19B$10.62B$7.11B$7.29B
Net Income$155.4M$155.4M$407.7M$219.8M$129.4M
EBITDA$319.8M$319.8M$625.6M$403.8M$349.4M
EPS0.390.391.020.550.32
Gross Margin24.4%24.4%24.2%23.3%26.7%
Operating Margin1.8%1.8%4.3%3.4%1.8%
Net Margin1.5%1.5%3.8%3.1%1.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.280.280.190.220.15
Current Ratio1.921.92———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-28.9M$-28.9M$337.1M$264.1M$-139.3M
Returns
ROE5.2%5.2%14.4%8.7%5.5%
Valuation
P/E37.8937.8935.9831.1164.75
EV/EBITDA21.1121.1122.9117.5124.51
P/B2.392.395.192.723.57
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-4.1%-4.1%49.3%-2.4%—
EPS Growth-61.8%-61.8%85.5%71.9%—
Dividend Yield0.6%0.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

59.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.58

Spread vs growth

-121.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

37.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.91

Spread vs growth

-99.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

23.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.08

Spread vs growth

-84.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -40.8%

Total return

-40.8%

Start / end P/E

29.8x → 45.7x

EPS bridge

1.02 → 0.39

Residual

-32.8%

EPS growth-61.8%
Multiple rerating+53.1%
Dividend+0.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-32.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.