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300792.SZ$35.66+16.27%
Fair $35.66+0.0%

300792.SZ

Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop.

Consumer Cyclical / Internet RetailShenzhen

$35.66

+4.99 (+16.27%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $35.66Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 60/B
F-Score: 6/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $226.1M · quality 55.3/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 29/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

60/100

B

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 3.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 300792.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$8.4B

P/E

75.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

44.6x

↑

ROE

3.7%

↓

Gross Margin

29.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$36
$23$52

TradingView lightweight chart

300792.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $35.66Periodo +74.6%
Fair value: $35.66

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-11.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

33.2%

FCF / Net income

3.31x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.07B · net income $107.6M · FCF $356.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

29.3%-4.3% pts

Operating margin

9.0%-6.3% pts

Net margin

10.0%-1.7% pts

FCF margin

33.2%+46.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.07B$1.07B$1.24B$1.29B$1.54B
Net Income$107.6M$107.6M$76.0M$107.9M$180.0M
EBITDA$158.8M$158.8M$112.4M$155.6M$279.1M
EPS0.450.450.320.460.76
Gross Margin29.3%29.3%24.8%29.3%33.6%
Operating Margin9.0%9.0%5.3%6.4%15.4%
Net Margin10.0%10.0%6.1%8.4%11.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.000.010.01
Current Ratio17.6517.65———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$356.3M$356.3M$226.1M$7.5M$-209.1M
Returns
ROE3.7%3.7%2.7%3.8%6.6%
Valuation
P/E75.8775.8771.0349.1737.43
EV/EBITDA44.5544.5537.5728.1820.45
P/B2.902.901.891.892.46
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-13.2%-13.2%-4.0%-16.3%—
EPS Growth40.6%40.6%-30.4%-39.5%—
Dividend Yield0.4%0.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

91.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.16

Spread vs growth

-51.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

53.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.83

Spread vs growth

-12.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

29.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$6.17

Spread vs growth

10.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +35.5%

Total return

+35.5%

Start / end P/E

82.5x → 79.2x

EPS bridge

0.32 → 0.45

Residual

-1.6%

EPS growth+40.6%
Multiple rerating-3.9%
Dividend+0.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.